刊行物

内容紹介

This paper analyzes the preconditions for harvesting the demographic bonus as well as the corresponding situations in urban and rural China. It introduces an overlapping generation model to illustrate the effects of decline in fertility rate and immigration on the demographic windows. Based on the case of Shanghai, it is argued that internal migration is the bridge to match the conditions of harvesting demographic bonus in both sending and receiving areas, and therefore could prolong the time span of harvesting demographic bonus in the urban areas while provide opportunities for the poor rural areas to be able to harvest demographic bonus, and result in a win-win situation.