PUBLICATIONS & REPORTS

PUBLICATIONS & REPORTS

Exchange Rate Movements and Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from Taiwanese Investment into China

Author Kun-Ming Chen, Hsiu-Hua Rau, Chia-Ching Lin
Date of Publication 2004. 11
No. 2004-30
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Contents Introduction

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate level and its volatility on outward foreign direct investment (FDI). The diversity in the motives for FDI is considered. Using a real options approach, we show that exchange rate uncertainty has a negative impact on a firm’s outward FDI. In addition, while the depreciation of a host country’s currency tends to stimulate outward FDI activity of cost-oriented firms, the depreciation tends to deter outward FDI activity of market-oriented firms. With industry panel data on Taiwan’s outward FDI into China over the period 1991-2002, our empirical findings indicate that the exchange rate level and its volatility in addition to the relative wage rate have had a significant impact on Taiwanese firms’ outward FDI into China. In general, the empirical results are consistent with the prediction of the theory.